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Old 29-03-2021, 12:46 PM   #1
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT March 28th, 2021.

Note: As not all Australian States report at the same time, the data below is based on the previous full day reporting.

6 new cases for Australia and no deaths so the CMR is 3.107%.

1 new case and 0 deaths for NZ so CMR is 1.048% and active cases 75.

The UK had a lower 3,862 cases yesterday and 19 deaths.

Just under 64k new cases in the USA yesterday and 791 deaths sees CMR at 1.818%. Note that the USA is actually minus one day due to time differences.

Other notable points: (weekend reporting)
India passes 12M cases;
Europe passes 39M cases;
Asia sets a new daily case high of 163,253;

Bermuda (81); and
Bahrain (1,027);

... recorded new daily highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day.

No countries move above the 90th percentile for their 10 day average while Czechia drops below.
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Old 29-03-2021, 01:48 PM   #2
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

I know I keep banging on about the 90th percentiles but it really is a good indicator of which countries are getting a handle on their case numbers and which aren't.

As a guide, our 90th percentile is 276 but our 10 day average is 9 and peak is 15 which is a good example of being well on top of case numbers.

Here are some examples from the other end of the spectrum. Note that a 'peak' within the last 10 days above the 90th percentile is not as bad as a 10 day average above! Peak numbers in red are also a new daily high.

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Old 29-03-2021, 03:06 PM   #3
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Well that went from PANIC to don't panic and back to PANIC!!

Three-day lockdown for Greater Brisbane as COVID cases climb

Quote:
Greater Brisbane will be locked down for three days from 5pm today after 10 new COVID-19 cases were recorded in the state overnight. The state’s top doctor says there’s now ‘significant’ community transmission.

Four of the new cases were locally acquired and are part of the new cluster of the highly-contagious UK-strain that emerged late last week.

One of the new cases had travelled to Gladstone from March 25 to 28.

Six of today’s 10 cases were detected in hotel quarantine, prompting the Premier to cut international arrivals.

One of the local cases is believed to be a nurse from the PA Hospital who had worked in the COVID ward. She has been on leave and had not received a COVID-19 vaccination.

The lockdown will include the council areas of Brisbane, Moreton Bay, Logan, Redlands and Ipswich.
https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/...aaa527828d2db6
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Old 29-03-2021, 04:06 PM   #4
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

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Well that went from PANIC to don't panic and back to PANIC!!

Three-day lockdown for Greater Brisbane as COVID cases climb
Taking a leaf out of the Victorian Play Book. I see Victoria recorded their first case in 19 days today so perhaps we'll get en Easter present of the panic kind.
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Old 29-03-2021, 04:29 PM   #5
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Timing is impeccable. Christmas, new years, and Easter.

Two of the positives went to Byron Bay whilst infectious.


Will our dear supreme leader pull the trigger and turn nsw red? Next couple of days is going to be interesting.
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Old 29-03-2021, 04:44 PM   #6
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

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Originally Posted by T3rminator View Post
Timing is impeccable. Christmas, new years, and Easter.

Two of the positives went to Byron Bay whilst infectious.

Will our dear supreme leader pull the trigger and turn nsw red? Next couple of days is going to be interesting.
No no please, not the disco lights!

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Old 29-03-2021, 06:28 PM   #7
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

So entire qld has to wear masks yet no local stores have stock. You couldn't make this crap up?!!!
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Old 29-03-2021, 06:41 PM   #8
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Have they identified how the leak occurred?

Also vaguely remember the one in mid March at golden state was also a mystery. Did that get resolve?

Or have states learnt not to let too much out of the bag after Victoria's last debacle?

Hope we are still sharing and learning.
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Old 29-03-2021, 07:21 PM   #9
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

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Originally Posted by T3rminator View Post
Have they identified how the leak occurred?

Also vaguely remember the one in mid March at golden state was also a mystery. Did that get resolve?

Or have states learnt not to let too much out of the bag after Victoria's last debacle?

Hope we are still sharing and learning.
It's not relevant when you have full confidence in your historically, properly-funded state health system. As Kerry Chant said, you can let the occasional one go through to the keeper when your CT is so strong. Her opinion has been bourn out by The Gold Standard State's ongoing success.

States where health spending has been pared back and control centered have no alternative than to hit the lock-down button...
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Old 29-03-2021, 07:31 PM   #10
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

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Originally Posted by FairmontGS View Post
It's not relevant when you have full confidence in your historically, properly-funded state health system. ...
Interesting comment. With that concept, we should all stop wasting money with hotel quarantine then. Instead, just hire a massive team of contract tracers to deal with whenever an infection is identified

Learning from each other's errors has been key to keeping the hotel quarantine system relatively successful nationally I would have thought.
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Old 30-03-2021, 11:18 AM   #11
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk says Queensland has recorded eight new locally acquired coronavirus cases, with two suspected clusters identified.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-03-...test/100036892
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Old 30-03-2021, 11:51 AM   #12
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

I’m loving some of the lingua obscura coming out of Queensland, cf: “The man attended a hen’s party as an entertainer”…

Personally I don’t think it looks too hot for the Sunshine State at present. I have concerns that the hard-earned casual approach of NSW may result in people visiting out of order and spreading the not-so-goodness around on their return.
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Old 30-03-2021, 12:47 PM   #13
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Quote:
Originally Posted by Citroënbender View Post
I’m loving some of the lingua obscura coming out of Queensland, cf: “The man attended a hen’s party as an entertainer”…

Personally I don’t think it looks too hot for the Sunshine State at present. I have concerns that the hard-earned casual approach of NSW may result in people visiting out of order and spreading the not-so-goodness around on their return.
not unexpected, just listenning and seeing the Palace Chook up front and centre in pressers is cringeworthy but thats what they vote for
Wonder how he dressed up for the hens party ?, a carrot
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Old 30-03-2021, 01:40 PM   #14
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

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Originally Posted by Citroënbender View Post
I’m loving some of the lingua obscura coming out of Queensland, cf: “The man attended a hen’s party as an entertainer”…
I think that is bordering on invasion of privacy and could be extremely embarrassing to the guy. What about that his mother etc

Could have just said that a person attended a gathering at Byron and left it at that.
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Old 30-03-2021, 01:08 PM   #15
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT March 29th, 2021.

Note: As not all Australian States report at the same time, the data below is based on the previous full day reporting.

18 new cases for Australia and no deaths so the CMR is 3.105%.

11 new case and 0 deaths for NZ so CMR is 1.043% and active cases 86.

The UK had a higher 4,654 cases yesterday and 23 deaths.

Just under 57k new cases in the USA yesterday and 551 deaths sees CMR at 1.816%. Note that the USA is actually minus one day due to time differences.

Other notable points:
Global cases pass 128M, the last 1M in 2 days;
Global deaths pass 2.8M, the last 50k in 5 days;
The USA passes 31M cases;

Mongolia (575);
Norway (1,321);
Bangladesh (5,181) - the previous high on 2/7/20; and
Philippines (10,018)

... recorded new daily highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day.

Iran moves above the 90th percentile for their 10 day average while no countries drop below.
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Old 30-03-2021, 02:44 PM   #16
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

It’ll be interesting on world wide numbers during, and after Semana santa? (Easter week)
This is when Covid woke the world last year
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Old 30-03-2021, 03:30 PM   #17
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Some random stats for global numbers.

There are now almost a handful of countries with mortality rates above 200 per 100k of population:

Gibraltar (279), San Marino (247), Czechia (243) and Hungary (208.7)

.. with Slovenia (193.5), Belgium (195.9) and Bosnia (197.6) knocking on that door.

53 countries have less than 2 deaths per 100k of population with 104 being >20, including the ones above. The global average is 36.03/100k.

16 countries have had some cases but no mortalities while 1 country (Western Sahara) has a CMR over 10% and 1 country (Yemen) has a CMR over 20% but both look to have massively under-reported case numbers.

13 countries have cases/100k below 10 while 136 countries are >500 cases / 100k population. The global average is 1,647 / 100k with several countries over 10,000 cases per 100k.
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Old 31-03-2021, 10:09 AM   #18
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Merkel holds crisis meeting as some regions halt AstraZeneca for under-60s

https://www.theage.com.au/world/euro...31-p57ffo.html

"Authorities in Berlin, Munich, Brandenburg state and the country’s biggest state, North Rhine-Westphalia, made the decision to temporarily halt vaccinations for younger people after the country’s medical regulator said it had received additional reports of an unusual form of blood clot in the head, known as sinus vein thrombosis, in recent recipients of the AstraZeneca vaccine. All together, those areas are home to almost a third of the German population.

The Paul Ehrlich Institute said a total of 31 such blood clots were reported by March 29 out of some 2.7 million doses of AstraZeneca that have been administered across the whole of Germany so far. Nine of the people died and all but two of the cases involved women, who were aged 20 to 63, it said."
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Old 31-03-2021, 10:48 AM   #19
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Canada on the wagon too...

https://7news.com.au/lifestyle/healt...lots-c-2472922
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Old 31-03-2021, 11:09 AM   #20
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Only 2 new zekes in QLD today. Linked to existing cluster. 33,000 tests done.
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Old 31-03-2021, 11:45 AM   #21
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Quote:
Originally Posted by T3rminator
Merkel holds crisis meeting as some regions halt AstraZeneca for under-60s

https://www.theage.com.au/world/euro...31-p57ffo.html

"Authorities in Berlin, Munich, Brandenburg state and the country’s biggest state, North Rhine-Westphalia, made the decision to temporarily halt vaccinations for younger people after the country’s medical regulator said it had received additional reports of an unusual form of blood clot in the head, known as sinus vein thrombosis, in recent recipients of the AstraZeneca vaccine. All together, those areas are home to almost a third of the German population.

The Paul Ehrlich Institute said a total of 31 such blood clots were reported by March 29 out of some 2.7 million doses of AstraZeneca that have been administered across the whole of Germany so far. Nine of the people died and all but two of the cases involved women, who were aged 20 to 63, it said."
Move along, nothing to see here. Line up here all you sheep and take your shot.

These things keep stacking up. If you are not in a high risk group, you must be a complete dullard if you want a vaccine with potential side effects for a virus that even if you do get it (highly unlikely), you have a 99% chance of complete recovery.

Probably higher odds of getting blood clots than actually dying of covid in australia.
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Old 31-03-2021, 12:03 PM   #22
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bossxr8 View Post
Move along, nothing to see here. Line up here all you sheep and take your shot.

These things keep stacking up. If you are not in a high risk group, you must be a complete dullard if you want a vaccine with potential side effects for a virus that even if you do get it (highly unlikely), you have a 99% chance of complete recovery.

Probably higher odds of getting blood clots than actually dying of covid in australia.
Thankyou agreed, I am no SM user and from what I hear its rife with posters like this, do people actually expect NO fatilities during vaccine periods.
Is it the vaccine the cause ?
As it's quoted in that article :
The Paul Ehrlich Institute said a total of 31 such blood clots were reported by March 29 out of some 2.7 million doses of AstraZeneca that have been administered across the whole of Germany so far. Nine of the people died and all but two of the cases involved women, who were aged 20 to 63, it said."

31 such re blood clots of some 2.7M dose's to date.
Like WTF - retreat retreat.
Any facts it was the vaccine alone causing the clots ?

followed by this :
The company said it would continue to work with German authorities to address any questions they might have, while also analysing its own records to understand whether the rare blood clots reported occur more commonly “than would be expected naturally in a population of millions of people”.

So glad I don't do SM, its bad enough here at times.
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Old 31-03-2021, 12:50 PM   #23
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

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Thankyou agreed, I am no SM user and from what I hear its rife with posters like this, do people actually expect NO fatilities during vaccine periods.
.........
Ummmmmm I think you missed Bossxr8's point

Quote:
Originally Posted by Poyal
Yeah I am not convinced the vaccine is the root cause, but what do I know.
Its the uncertainty that is causing concerns. As I said before, these countries are not running backyard operations when it comes to health and safety.

At the end of the day people will fall into one of two camps "Everyone take the vaccine until its proven to be unsafe" or "Everyone only take the vaccine once its proven to be safe"..... excluding the anti vaxxers.
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Old 31-03-2021, 04:26 PM   #24
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

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Ummmmmm I think you missed Bossxr8's point



Its the uncertainty that is causing concerns. As I said before, these countries are not running backyard operations when it comes to health and safety.

At the end of the day people will fall into one of two camps "Everyone take the vaccine until its proven to be unsafe" or "Everyone only take the vaccine once its proven to be safe"..... excluding the anti vaxxers.
me think you miss mine as well
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Old 31-03-2021, 01:05 PM   #25
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

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........, you have a 99% chance of complete recovery.
It seems ~1/3 of people who have had it would disagree.

Sick for the long haul: One third of COVID-19 patients have symptoms for eight months

https://www.smh.com.au/national/sick...30-p57fbl.html

"The landmark ADAPT study shows 32 per cent of 81 COVID-19 patients diagnosed at St Vincent’s Hospital’s testing clinics reported still feeling ill 240 days post-infection."

"Derek Young, 55, still feels the brain fog of COVID-19 more than a year after he tested positive in mid-March 2020. The high fever, sweats, shivering and muscle aches had all passed within six weeks, but the “incredible fatigue” dragged on for eight months.

"At first I was sleeping 22 of 24 hours a day, but for months I would have a good run of three or four days, then have to take a day off to just sleep,” he said.

“Everyday functions – internet banking – I couldn’t do. To this day I’ll still forget something, or reach for a word I can’t find.”"
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Old 31-03-2021, 12:43 PM   #26
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Yeah I am not convinced the vaccine is the root cause, but what do I know.

What pre-existing conditions were there etc etc
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Old 31-03-2021, 01:06 PM   #27
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Quote:
Originally Posted by Polyal View Post
Yeah I am not convinced the vaccine is the root cause, but what do I know.

What pre-existing conditions were there etc etc
It's the issue of these rare blood clots only happening after taking the vaccine that worries me. Sure, it may all just be coincidental, but these issues keep stacking up. They aren't one offs.

I'd rather take my 0.000000001% chance of dying of covid, that I my never even be infected with, than a 0.000000001% chance I get blood clots, or something else, when I take this vaccine. It's just introducing a potential problem for a problem I may never even get, or know I even had in many cases.
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Old 31-03-2021, 01:09 PM   #28
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT March 30th, 2021.

Note: As not all Australian States report at the same time, the data below is based on the previous full day reporting.

20 new cases for Australia and no deaths so the CMR is 3.103%.

2 new case and 0 deaths for NZ so CMR is 1.042% and active cases 80.

The UK had a lower 4,040 cases yesterday and 55 deaths. That's the 4th consecutive day under 5k cases.

Just under 60.5k new cases in the USA yesterday and 700 deaths sees CMR at 1.815%. Note that the USA is actually minus one day due to time differences.

Other notable points:
South America passes 21M cases;
Asia passes 28M cases;

Réunion (1,025);
Venezuela (1,288) - the previous high on 13/8/20;
Norway (1,575);
Uruguay (2,877);
Greece (4,322);
Bulgaria (5,176); and
Turkey (37,303) - the previous high on 6/12/20

... recorded new daily highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day.

Azerbaijan and Oman move above the 90th percentile for their 10 day average while no countries drop below.
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Old 31-03-2021, 01:29 PM   #29
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Here we go... GSS kicks into gear

Person at bachelorette venue tests positive, restrictions for northern NSW


Quote:
A person who attended the same venue as the bachelorette party that prompted health alerts in Byron Shire has tested positive to coronavirus, bringing an end to 14 days without community transmission of the virus in NSW.
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/austr...?ocid=msedgntp
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Old 31-03-2021, 02:20 PM   #30
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

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Here we go... GSS kicks into gear
Looks like that badge of honour might be stripped away pretty soon The lovey dovey antics are off.

https://www.theguardian.com/australi...0867d273659f74


"Hazzard:

I know our front line health staff, our public health staff have been working into the wee small hours, night after night to do what they have done in the last 15 months.

One day we are the gold standard and the next day we are being told we are not.

We are still the gold standard because we have amazing frontline health staff and if we are given the clear evidence and indications of what we are going to get, we will work to that.

Not happy at all today and I think the federal government should be offering apologies to not only our government but other governments around the country.

You need to know if you are going to win a war, you can’t have the tanks and artillery all dropped at airport and told about it and then go public with it a few days later. You have to know what your supply lines are and you have to be able to work to those. We are at frontline of a war, New South Wales and the other public health teams and we have been doing a very good job with our public health officials, working hard.

I find this very offensive."
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